Why EUR is stronger than Swiss Franc?

 Why EUR is stronger than Swiss Franc?

Of this question I am capable of diluting the true of it

Such as EUR and Swiss economic issue as well as political issue
but I hate to do this
Let us get to the point 

To the technical anlysist,
 it seem to be absurd for consuming our energy if I do abuse my dazzling tongue 

For those are too many facts for us to be digested and comprehended

Perhaps technical anlysist may strongly insist his language instead of immense factor all of world

Let us eager to listen to his language, chart (Jan 2013 18)

This is monthly chart of EUR/CHF

This is brief answer of all the state EUR/CHF with very concise explanation.

To the general Readers, it may be seems Greek!

It is one of attribution of Bollinger Bands (BBS) which is fulfilled as contraction and dispersion(or divergence)  

①     Is stochastic divergence

②     Is BBS which is at the verge of Opening mouth

Black line is BBS Up lines and Red line is middle line of it

It was utmost contraction

It is at the verge of opening.

Hence

Technical analyst will answer you, pointing out this BBS, “the chart is implied all about Europe and Swiss economic situation in chart world.   

To my readers!

This information will profitable within one or two months

If you don’t know what is meaning of Monthly chart (time sequence)   

To the Korean speaker

유로가 스위스 프랑에 강세를 보이고 있습니다.

그 이유를 유럽의 정치경제에서 찾기 보다는 기술적 분석상의 차트 언어로써 찾아야 합니다. 그렇지 않으면 우리가 소화할 수 없는 다량의 정보를 취득하고 가공하여야 하는데 개인으로써 불가능에 가까운 일이니까요

우리는 혓바닥이 현란한 경제학자나 혹은 분석가 보다는 오히려 차트 분석가로부터 그 답을 찾아야 합니다.

왜? 유로가 스위스 프랑에 강세를 보이고 있는가?  

차트는 거두절미하고, 얻고자 하는 답을 매우 간단하게 도출하기 때문입니다.    

차트는 볼린저밴드입니다.

볼린저밴드의 속성상 차트가 응축되고 확장되는데, 지금의 차트를 보시면 최대로 수축되었고

지금 막 확장 단계에 들 어 서는 것을 확인 하실 수 있습니다.

이것은 월봉 차트이니까 최소한 2~3개월은 투자를 하셔도 손해는 보지 않은 다는 정보입니다.

성공적인 투자바랍니다. 

The result of Cassandra words

The result of Cassandra words

What if you listen to Cassandra word carefully?

Is it nightmare or Gospel?

Let us compare how it was and what it is

Because it is power of re-treatment  

See

①     Is warring point

②     Top point

③     Retreatment (pull back) price

④     Is price level of lower

⑤     Is price level of peak 

 Before of EUR/CHF

Do you remember what she told “you do not rush?”  

She suggested price of retreatment when it is down

Monthly chart of DAX index

Monthly chart of DAX index

It seems hard time to be up to the level of (# 8022)

And will be pivotal issue when it is reached at the previous level of Dax (# 8022) because it is strongly acted by mean of resistance line 

Good luck !

OF EUR/CHF

In first chapter If you don’t know any lines on chart language, never mind, you will be gradually intimacy what is and how to read it. This is my final goal to be reached at though this progress in introduction chart.

But I am strongly insisting on that you must see first the account how is increasing. Tempting enough let us eager to listen what chart is telling us, and examined the lowest point well and truly, if not, let us turn away from my chart language unless the reason and logic has failed to guide and persuade you there.            

I want my readers to share this horrible fear with my chart. It will be huge advance in this field, if someone feels tragedy drama from chart; I think not less than 5 % of trades can feel how candle is sung and dance. hence  I adapt “on air ,live scene, how I strife for survivable , from the chart , feeling the uneasy,  suffer or agony , it is almost near to goals, thou, chart language is too difficult to decipher , if you feel it, it means you understand and listen to what chart is telling to you about good and bad news. Perhaps this is best way for readers to lick my brain and heard my heart beating throughout live show of battle (I name on it as air live scene from the battle)  This may work, yes, as a narrative in the first chapter partly, and rest of them, Continued last chapter. If you don’t want to disconnect the story, you can directly skip to chapter 13 

let us see real time chart and feel it 

                                   Eur/Chf

It is 30 M chart that we consider whether if it is peak or not

In day trading, you may consider that it is the top of short term view   

As real time of it, the price is 1.24372 you would better sell it

And after re-buy it for long term view

Let us see how Cassandra words are precise!

30분봉 차트입니다.

단기적으로 한번 털어주고 다시 잡아도 좋다고 생각합니다.

왜냐하면 장기적으로는 상승추세이니까요

그러나 상승추세일지라도 눌렀다 가는 게 chart 입니다. 즉 오를 때 조차도 내렸다가 가는 곳이 있는데 소위 눌림목이 되겠군요. 이 종목은 30분봉상 한번 눌렀다가 갈 것입니다.

우리 한번 주시하고 그 결과를 비교해보지요

카산드라의 예언을 믿어도 되는지? 

Two weeks ago I predicted it (Dow Jons) as blue

I would like to revise my options (I hope it is not too late) because of Double bottom of stochastic signal 

Sorry about it !

See the ① of “W” pattern so called ‘double bottom’

   And   ② of BBS as the beginning of dynamic stage (opening mouth) two thick black lines   

Hence give me 1 month more 

I will give you more confirmed information 

sorry again

The result of Cassandra words

What if you listen to Cassandra word carefully?

Is it nightmare or Gospel?

Let us compare how it was and what it is

Because it is power of Trend

Hence let us strip up her secret how she predicted 3.43% profits within a week   

   

                                          1. Real time of USD/JPY

Do you remember what she told you?

She suggested price of 120ma in 75M chart when it is going up 

                                      2. A Week ago of USD/JPY

                                 3. Strip of Cassandra words

What are the secrets of her knowledge?

How she could predicted the price if it is matter of drunken man walking as a random theory?

Because she knew the trend as Issac Newton

“An object in motion will stay in motion” 

so called Ladder pattern 

It may well be regarded as a distorted rectangle not only of characteristic behavior but also of Psychological status. 
All Main concepts from the pattern are finding out common element by inductive logic, since all substance is same as rectangle pattern.
 in especially ⑧&⑩ points are shared with resisted line of 75MA, the more intersection of facts, the more you can ensure the possibility  

More about Ladder pattern 

We often heard the ‘one sparrow don’t make a summer’ it is very best explanation of ‘Trend, it means in chart trading we are able to enjoy the weather of springing, mayday of life. For one sparrow can’t switch “the Trend of spring” into especially in weather of summer. It is power of trend and power of the inertia in Issac Newton world “An object in motion will stay in motion”    

I was about to create a chapter about “sparrow and trend” For it is very good example of explanation of” “TREND" since the meaning of “TREND" is so essential to technical anlysist filed. It is one of advantage which the fundamentalist can’t get it.  

Meanwhile

Assailed with doubt, how do we know about the period of trend in chart but not in season? 

Whereas we have known already about prior knowledge what is meaning of spring and summer and season and also have known that each season is consisted 3 month period.

It is question for us.  Even if one sparrow doesn’t make a summer’ we know when the summer is coming. In season it will be presumably within maximum of 3 month, the summer coming at least. But in chart how do we know the length and duration of trend?

It is one of our final tasks to synchronize the sensation between a sparrow in season and a trend in chart

If we can truly sense what is meaning of a summer or springing in season as like as we can feel it in chart, it is one of best and lucrative deal what we can harvest from the skill of chart.

I may reissue this topic “sparrow and trend”  

At the moment I want you to partly satisfy with the trend as below 

Thicken black line is upper line of BBS

Thicken Red line is middle line of BBS

BBS is another expression of ladder pattern especially the red line has substantially same function of trend.  

As mention before, You may recognize this is acted as same mission with same function of Resistance & supporting line as well as of one Traditional trend lines (14) because they are intersected by both conception. It is nothing but just a matter of angle from which side you can approach here.  

It is trend of BBS and of ladder pattern, too.

We can enjoy the party until the trend is collapsed with double tops’” signals ( which is  inverted pattern of “W” of course it is better if we can company with negative divergence from any indicators)

Those BBS trend between upper and middle lines has more significant power than normal trend line which you may draw as this. It is doubtlessly acted as Resistance & supporting line as well as one of traditional trend line.  

You can decline the degree of angle and see as attribution to rectangle.

The methodology of trend has been fulfilled long time since Dow Jons. Even nowadays many of analysts take advantage of this function as the trend [1]in chart language, which is neither inclination nor constancy but an object in motion in motion in Issac Newton world.

As you can see the No ①~No ⑥ has been busy for his mission for embracing inside of a ladder (ref. Ladder pattern chapter)

See the No ⑦ and No ⑧  

Both of downtrend line and BBS of down line are breakthrough and strongly supported by BBS down line. Interpret that when such a case especially the BBS and Ladder pattern is overlapping it. They are coworkers as common interested. 
Here of BBS of Middle line and downtrend of ladder is shared with their job. You can see this as bullish phase. In my chart it is expressed by blue background color as you know.

When it is breakthrough, where is it also rebounded?

When is best time to enter here?

The once resistance will be recoiled as supported line. The support will switched as resisted

Hence It will be rebounded to the No ⑧ which his function has been changed from support into resistance line with 70% personal statistic.

I wish you to expend and enlarge this fact not only into this ladder pattern but also into analogous pattern such as rectangle, flag, Wedge and all of triangle. I mean “all “ it is substantially same same but different.

And I wish you to inflate like popcorn those facts with confluence of other indicators for best timing for entry as well 

It is same trend as previous one but more clearly we can observe inside of story.

 

                        =                       

I have a question, What if it is not rectangle but flag pattern where post is as the upside down pattern of the flag?

We can artificially decline ladder pattern as above and can similarly interpret this pattern as rectangle Pattern in terms of psychological struggle story between a bull and a bear world. 

When you find out some of this pattern as the trend, it does not always guaranty you to earn the money but you have some reason to enter at least. This is one of our final missions for feeling it.  

It may be small difference in stock trading but it is big difference in technical analysis unlike fundamental analysis. It will be too luxury to apply to the fundamental analysis here in world of Forex trading.

This is reason why we classify all the patterns in the light of conception from the fractal geometry  to obtain the more possibility in chart language as well as We may access to here in this pattern as a tools of logic of induction theory.

When you see such a ladder pattern, you can think about entering at the No ① but not uptrend of it otherwise your psychology will fret and erosive and suppressed by emotional decision.

It is apparently at the moment just two intersection of them the point is confluence both by one of 14 trend patterns and BBS line. But you may see the more meaningful intersection as progressing of this book. I want you to not have objection that the more intersection of patterns the more possibility. But I want you to acquire and you to better arm with statistics since we can see as much as we know.

Who said the most easest things is advise some one and most difficut things is vitory in argument from ignorent one. Perhap I am doing same things, for in fact It is not easy for us to apply it in real trading because the chart is only displayed  after result. But before result it is not same matterns. Hence it is easest thing for me  to adive you that i can justy the logic only according as what is actural happened.

It is hapeend as often as eathing rice on korean breakefast and as often as I am poorly betrayed it is too bad trauma to cure it.

Let us see this chart. we know where was best point. But before result, we are humman, too humman

However Undountley you know where is hunting point as this  

①     Is ideal point again

②     But I had entered 2 ,for it had provided several reason to bet ; it breakout the previous higer point , C wave and chair pattern even more, but it entirely betraied  all the probability. If we are not armed with stop loss, do not foret that we are completely forlorn

③     Is frist ideal point but I could not expect to be became status of ①from view point of ②

I have sad vistory with bad result.

I did it with stop loss. The lessen fee is incalculable not only material but psychological issue

We call it bad trauma. Hence in chart world, keep in mind that We absolutely cannot get along without stop loss. I mean not only this pattern in chapter but also all of loweret point in all chapter

   

조이맥스 내일의 차트입니다.

조이매수 내일 반등이 발생해야 합니다.

30분봉 차트에서 일었났으니, 3~% 먹고 빠저 나오는 전략이 좋을 듯합니다.
차트를 보시면 빨간 동그라민 4개가 보이지요
그리고 추세대도 보이구요?
그렇다면, 어떤 모습의 Pattern 이 그려질까요?
사다리형 패턴을 스스로 그려 보시고 대응하세요
성투하세요

The Cassandra words of USD/JPY

The currency market is much like war, 
but the fighting is conducted by our proxies, traders with civilized weapons.
As soon as one sits down in a trading room with keyboard and mouse, one confronts an anonymous enemy who is Faceless, nameless, and nationless, but who, with one mouse click, accesses the vast arsenal of e-trading even in toilet.
The currency war occurs every day, with a trade volume of USD 3 trillion. As we view currency trading as a kind of war, we can see that the enterprise fits well into the whole structure and history of civilization. 
As the Greek philosopher Heraclitus once said, “War is father of all things.” Such war does not happen only on battlefields, but takes place even amid the civility of the modern world, everywhere and at all times in a variety of forms. 
In the currency war, battles are fought between the bulls and the bears,(remember why we call trading terms as “the bullish and bearish phase”)  strife is between greed and fear. Ultimately, like all wars, it is being fought for the preservation of the civilization that wages it, for the sake of reproduction and survival.

Thus, we are marching to win a war, so that we can continue in the trade of life and in a life of trade. The tools I present – a survival kit for this war – may seem complex and odd at times. They are probably not suitable for all traders.

It has often been said that we can achieve this if we know how to control our fear and greed. However, such a goal is not realistic. Not even the most respected of analysts could achieve it, as the lives and work of Joseph E. Granville, Jesse Livermore, or Ralph Nelson Elliott attest.

Secondly, you may not be happy the process of trading, no matter what, from such as scalping, intraday trading, middle term trading or long term trading, rather it is the process of your life is unhealthy and dried life and you may be eventually living on the heavy stress, and Even entirely you isolated life from community. So many people will agree on that this is not good life

Also I believe that this is far from wellbeing life but it is busy for producing for just lonely warrior     

Finally the rest of 95%, losers from this game, we are meant to pave to Bible’s prediction “He who lives not by the stock shall not die by stock/Forex” Accordingly my scope of guidance will not be completely happy (even though 5% winner, survivors)

In fact, after result, we can make a voice thousand times as different shape for justifying but before result, we cannot even one voice for the tomorrow price. We call it only God knows and nobody know tomorrow price. Even if I do ornament on my chart about lowest price, I do not really know, only God know and can predict tomorrow price. If someone telling you that he knows tomorrow price, remind them of “power of compound interested ratio, if he knows it, amassed money like snowball and dying of too much money” and finally destroyed market run.

You may ask me what purpose you need to study for this book.

Answer will be for “responding as circumstance” since it is not territory of prediction but response

Then you doubt it again and ask me again “

Is it useless as chess game”?

Unless you are inevitable, have your own ‘principle’ or criterion and access with ‘idea or imagination of its next step from chart’ and execute “stop loss” you may be far from what you pine for. Hence Keep away from prediction such as stock, commodity and Forex.

The Cassandra words of USD/JPY

  (2013/01/05)Sunday

           #2

It is typical pattern for trend followers that you must remember “ride running horses”

But it is today (2013/01/05) at the prosed price of 88.056 closed due to Sunday

Do not rush and rash to ride them

The best point to ride them is when retreated back to 87.741. Because the 120MA of 30 minute candle chart will be acted by supported line

Let us see it whether if Cassandra words are trustable or not  

①     Is higher price point

②     Is crossed price in this weekend

③     Is target price for you to capture of it

④     Is 120 ma of 30 minute candle stick chart 

The fortune are very crossed to you because you can get what you can see this chart

Enjoy and Good luck to you

From Cassandra

Real time flash information for Forex trader about EUR/CH

What are you looking for?

It is not “difference with circumstance” nor sophistical dialectic, which is excuse for no accordance

Cassandra will say a much less direction than other and less perplexity for entry decision for Fx Traders and stock traders

Because:

It is not matter of rhetoric of dazzling tongue but matter of  useful information in accuracy  for guiding what you ought to do or what you ought not do since it is crucial war.

                         EUR/CHF  

Do not rush to buy the toil and trouble

At the moment, EUR/CHF is 1.23946(Jan 16) 30 minute chart. It is tempting enough to click and get it

But if you are chasing it, you will pay for your impatience

Cassandra will reduce your hot temper:

The trend of this item will be good for long terms

Our interesting is short terms when it is best time to buy it

Let us wait until it is down at the point of 1.23245 EUR/CHF

Of course Eur is getting stronger against Chf so that if you get the lowest, keep going and enjoy the trend like USD against JPY

Both of them will trace same way

It is going to be one of your fortunes after 2 months later if you keep it   

Good luck

Yours Cassandra

2013/1/16

It is the result of Cassandra words

It is the result of Cassandra words
Before and after

See 2013/01/05 of Cassandra word 

and compare what she predicted

She said “enjoy the trend” and the Resisted line of 120ma as a trend line

It is not expired yet, if you did catch USD/JPY 10days ago

Keep going on until your wallet is getting heavier

I mean heavier than your greedy since you do not know when you are feed full again

Be hold!

Revise the trend line of 120ma in 30 minute char as 75 minute chart.

75 minute chart of 120ma is fulfilled as trend line more accuracy than 30 min. chart of 120ma

한국인들이 이 글을 읽은 다면, 10일전에 USD/JPY 대하여 글을 올렸습니다.

추세를 먹으라고

그리고 30분봉상 120이평이 추세선 이라고 그러나 보다 정확한 추세 선은 75분봉에서 120분봉으로 잡고, 마치 여인이 첫사랑 남자 바지가랑이 붙들고 놓아 주지 않듯이, 꽉 붙들고 있으라고!

계속 추세를 즐기시기 바랍니다. 

엔화 약세와 전략

엔화 약세 어디까지 갈 것인가?

요즘 언론에서 엔화의 약세를 언급합니다. 그러나 이들은 언제까지 엔화가 약세인지 그리고 언제까지 엔화 약세는 지속될는지 아무런 언급이 없습니다. 눈 있고 귀가 있으면 다 알 수 있는 사실만을 떠 벌이고 있기 때문입니다. 그들도 알고 우리도 알고 하물며 개도 소도 아는 사실을 뒷 북 치듯이 떠버리고 있습니다.  그것도 주장하고 있는 논지에 대하여 면피성 반대의견을 곁들이면, 글을 읽고 있는 독자에게 아무런 도움이 될지 않은 듯 하여 몇 자 올립니다.  

엔화가 한달 혹은 두 달 아니면 1년 후에 까지 약세를 이어갈까?

아니면 몇 년 동안 약세를 이어갈까?

위 물음은 독자에게 큰 관심사입니다.

왜냐하면 엔화에 관심 있는 분들이라면, 엔화에 대한 정보가 돈과 관련이 되였기 때문입니다. 일본과 경쟁관계에 있는 대기업은 물론 일본에 수출하고 있는 중소기업뿐만 아니라, FX 외환시장에서 투자자에게도 어쩌면 운명의 전환점이 될 수도 있는 정보이기 때문입니다. (아니 대한민국 국가에게도 큰 정보가 될 것입니다)

단기전망과 장기 전망에 대하여 말씀 드리겠습니다

                          단기전망에 대하여.

 

위 차트는 1주일 전에 2013년 1월 5일에 저의 페이스북, 트위터, 및 불로그에 올렸든 차트입니다.

수출업자에게는 별 도움이 되지 않을 수도 있으나, 외환투자자에게는 꽤 큰 수익을 창출했던 정보가 되였을 것입니다. 만약 저의 말대로 성급하게 30분상에서 고점에서 잡지 말고, 오히려 내리는 눌림목에서 그것도 추세를 믿고, 120이평선에 잡았다면 1 주일 동안에 꽤 수익이 되였을 것입니다.

그러나 이 글을 읽고 있는 다수는 외환투자자가 아니라고 봅니다. 따라서 이 정보는 큰 파동 속에 작은 물결 즉, 큰 차트 속에 작은 차트의 추세는 장기 투자자에게는 별 도움이 되지 않을 듯 하여, 엔화의 장기전망에 대하여 말씀 드리겠습니다.

특히나 일본과 무역하는 사람들 위하여 장기전망 참고 하시기 바랍니다. 환율에 따른 경영상의 변수는 원가절감 그 이상의 변수 보다 매우 크기 때문이고 원가절감 10% 하기는 어렵지만 환율 때문에 10% 손해나는 것은 쉽기 때문이지요.    

                            장기전망에 대하여

짧게 말하면 기술적 분석상에서는 더 이상의 강세는 없을 것이라고 말합니다.

그 이유는

①     번은 보조지표인 스토케스틱인데 다이버전스이고

②     번은 전고점의 악성매물을 소화하고 추세선 입니다

한편 이동평균선 측면에서 해석할 수 있는데

고동색은 5이평이고 노란색은 20이동평균선입니다.

어떻다고 생각하세요? 그렇습니다.

고동색 5이평이 쌍바닥을 (W) 그렸기에 노란색 20이평이 꺾였지요. 시장이 우리에게 추세전환의 승인이 내 주었다고 볼 수 있습니다.

차트의 기술적 분석의 추세는 물리학상에서 일종의 가속도에 해당하므로 한번 탄력을 받으면 쉽게 멈추지 않는 속성이 있습니다. 보시는 차트처럼 월봉에서 추세를 받으면 몇 달이 아니라 몇 년 동안이 됩니다.

이는 곧 더 이상의 미화가 엔화에 대하여 강세를 추세를 지속하지 못하고, 엔저 현상이 5년 이상은 지속 될 것입니다. 중소기업자들이 만약에 일본과 거래를 하려면 엔화보다는 미화를 결재수단으로 삼아야 한다는 말이고, 외환투자자(Forex)에게는 단기 파동에 일희일비 하지 마시고 여유 돈 가지고 “푸욱”묻어두는 게 상책이라는 말이지요.

 

카산드라 차트 (3일 후 월요일 용입니다)

내일 주시해야 할 종목중에  조이맥스가 눈에 쏘옥 들어오내요.

이 종목은 오늘은 금요일 한주의 마무리를 25900원으로 마감했습니다.

당연히 우리의 관심은 내일 모래 글피, 즉 월요일이 문제가 됩니다.

즉, 2013년 1월 14일 아침에 이 종목을 주시하시기 바랍니다.

아니, 주시하기 보다는 좀더 가까기 가기 위해서 분석의 잣대를 들이 대보기로 하겠습니다. 기술적 분석은 지금의 상황을 어떻게 말하고 있는지

30분봉으로 접근했습니다. 단타 개념이고 크게는 swing 종목으로 봐도 무리가 없을 듯 합니다. 분석을 해보지요.

①     120ma 의 DC(Dead cross) 이후 하락 추세전환 되였습니다.

②     번에서 120ma가 지지선으로 작용하고 있습니다. 두번을 120ma를 때렸습니다.

③     번에서 120ma가 세 번째 돌파를 시도했지만, 주저앉았습니다.

④     번에서 노란선 20ma 관점에서 보지요.

⑤     번에서 쌍바닥을 그렸고

⑥     번은 5번보다 저점을 높였고

⑦     번은 3번의 전고점을 돌파했습니다. 이때 3번까지 악성매물을 소화했다고 해석하세요

⑧     번부터는 거래량 관점에서 보지요. 거래량이 줄어들고 있는데 6번의 가격이 오르고 있지요 그렇습니다. 바로 거래량 다이버전스 입니다.

이것은 30분봉이니까 2배로 확대 해보겠습니다. 어떻게 하시는지 아시지요? 그렇습니다 15분봉 차트로 2배를 확대 합니다.

파동을 한번 셈해보지요

위 차트는 15분봉 차트로 2배를 확대했습니다.

8번를 확대 15분으로 확대하니까 하늘색 화살표 방향으로 거래량이 줄어들고 있지요

그리고 가격의 캔들을 보노라니, 거래량과 반대로 오르고 있지요?

이때 다이버전스의 정의를 상기하시면 거래량이 증가하면 캔들이 오르게 되므로, 우리의 관심사는 캔들이 아니라 바로 거래량 지표를 시선을 고정시켜서 대응하면 되겠지요.

파동을 한번 셈해보지요

C파동은 4번이고 E 파동은 5번이며 7번은 3번의 악성매물을 소화했다고 해석할 때

개인적으로 제가 너무나 편애하는 차트 중에 하나입니다.